Individual preference heterogeneity, targeting and welfare effects of soda taxes

نویسندگان

  • Pierre Dubois
  • Rachel Griffith
  • Martin O’Connell
چکیده

Soda taxes aim to reduce excessive sugar consumption. Their effectiveness depends on whether they successfully target those whose consumption is associated with the highest harm. We assess the impact of soda taxes using novel longitudinal data on purchases on-the-go; we model the supply side of the market and find that pass-through is over 100%. We recover individual level responses, which we relate to markers of the likely harm to the individual from sugar consumption. We show that soda taxes are not well targeted at those with high sugar diets; such individuals do not respond any more strongly than those with low sugar diets. However, younger consumers switch relatively strongly away from sugar. We evaluate the welfare and redistributive properties of the tax.

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تاریخ انتشار 2017